New Science on Sea-Level Rise

Joint projections of US East Coast sea level and storm surge.

Christopher M. Little, Radley M. Horton, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer, Gabriel A. Vecchi, and Gabriele Villarini.

Nature Climate Change (2015)

Future coastal flood risk will be strongly influenced by sea-level rise (SLR) and changes in the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones. These two factors are generally considered independently. Here, we assess twenty-first century changes in the coastal hazard for the US East Coast using a flood index (FI) that accounts for changes in flood duration and magnitude driven by SLR and changes in power dissipation index (PDI, an integrated measure of tropical cyclone intensity, frequency and duration).

Joint Projections of US East Coast Sea Level and Storm Surge